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May 19, 1998 |
The Manufacturers Association for Information Technology has set itself the task of making India the IT design centre of the world by 2005.
MAIT figures that India has to develop a large industry based on electronics technology because it will drive the big economies in the coming millennium. But is this design centre wishful thinking or an achievable ambition backed by solid research and detailed strategy? Yesterday, we brought to you the thoughts of experts from the country. Though fragmented on the finer points of the issue, they seemed to generally agree that MAIT's kite is flyable. But today's going to be a surprise. Silicon Spice CEO Vinod Dham, the biological engine behind every Pentium across the world, explains to Rediff why MAIT needs to rethink. Let alone manufacturing, he is sceptical of even a large design operation in the country. Harsh? He has one solid reason: "The Devil is in the details." And he can't find them... Is the time ripe for India to go for the microprocessor revolution? Or has it already missed the bus, the way it did during the semiconductor revolution in the Seventies? You can’t justify this investment simply because it is already a commodity business. If India wants to get into the semiconductor business, it has to adopt the right strategy. It won’t hurt to study some of the successful cases such as Taiwan and Korea. It will help come up with the right strategy for India at this juncture. What’s your reading on MAIT’s ambition to make India a design centre by 2005 with a turnover of $ 5 billion? Is it realistic? Whether the ambition is realistic or not can only be assessed once these parameters have been identified. I believe failure of India’s initial foray into semiconductors through SCL at Chandigarh was due to lack of a good business strategy. Let us not repeat that mistake. It could prove very costly. There is some design talent in the country today. Take the case of Texas Instruments India and other companies. But it is not enough. MAIT told us that they are going to woo talent of Indian origin in the US to return home. Now, given the big shortage of talent in the US itself, do you think such a plan will work? Experts at home brandish the low wage bill for the design team as a competitive edge. We have been told the development costs can be slashed up to 50 per cent. But then this does not seem to show up in the final price of the chip because the manufacturing and marketing efforts are done in the US. How can this be a competitive edge then? We are flummoxed. Given your point of view from the US, how do you see this? If we base our strategies in high-tech on low cost of labour, things are likely to backfire. Our strategy has to be based on some core competence, whether it is software or in algorithms. Israel should be an interesting example on how core competence can be utilised well. We must build steadily around our core competence and then branch into synergistic areas. That's how Taiwan started off with PCB motherboards, expanded into chipsets and other components and is now entering into full systems and fab subcontracting. Suppose MAIT is not able to make it in chip design but manages to flower in all the other IT design segments, then would it be enough to make the $ 5 billion target by 2005? I am disappointed to see lack of specifics and only some lofty goals unsupported by robust and well thought out plan. The fruits of India’s success in software never trickled down to its huge population of poor and unskilled citizens. Do you see India’s hardware drive benefiting the less fortunate unskilled and semiskilled labour? Same is true of Taiwan and host of other countries that have embraced the electronics technology based industry as an engine for growth in this decade and for the coming millennium. Could you do an impromptu SWOT analysis of India as a chip design centre of the world? But again, the Devil is in the details. Detail of how we create an effective long-term strategy and then execute it flawlessly. Our strategy has to be very compelling and should be based on our strengths and competitive advantage, our outstanding, well-educated work force. Which nation is the biggest threat to India becoming an IT design centre? What is the one big mistake India can make to destroy this IT design centre dream? Earlier: |
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